Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.251254 0.295683 0.342936 0.396663 0.455781 0.518589 0.590099
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.193785 0.254317 0.323158 0.406142 0.502382 0.609462 0.736580
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.146203 0.214450 0.297353 0.402865 0.531035 0.679303 0.861388
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.106585 0.176371 0.267182 0.389107 0.543798 0.729144 0.963598
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.085207 0.157594 0.257733 0.398372 0.583177 0.810752 1.105155
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.063621 0.133814 0.237745 0.390801 0.599200 0.862831 1.211304
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.053724 0.125630 0.237995 0.409512 0.649184 0.958239 1.372937
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.041776 0.111162 0.226671 0.410217 0.674032 1.021210 1.494432
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.032506 0.099002 0.216934 0.411659 0.698932 1.083998 1.616241
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.026635 0.091840 0.214110 0.422628 0.736888 1.164400 1.761886
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.022379 0.086878 0.214175 0.437555 0.780470 1.252853 1.919208
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.018777 0.082319 0.214213 0.452026 0.823409 1.340928 2.077135
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.013569 0.071873 0.202249 0.446533 0.837149 1.390043 2.185528
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010439 0.065742 0.197605 0.452610 0.868168 1.463654 2.328011
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007159 0.057151 0.186538 0.446586 0.880008 1.510098 2.434057
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004250 0.047223 0.170631 0.430365 0.874715 1.531362 2.505368
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003125 0.043846 0.168834 0.439380 0.909445 1.610760 2.657931
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001782 0.037312 0.158159 0.430757 0.915013 1.647325 2.750962
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001430 0.036652 0.162158 0.450393 0.967293 1.753432 2.942791
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000834 0.032694 0.156684 0.450944 0.987699 1.812345 3.068541
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000450 0.029272 0.151905 0.452360 1.009321 1.873165 3.197480
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000277 0.027699 0.152164 0.463970 1.048402 1.960715 3.365365
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000178 0.026850 0.154450 0.479813 1.094967 2.060068 3.550952